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Probability Analysis of CFTs cards

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Yomna
Lvl 60High Grandmaster Pony
229
Hey, in case you missed it, Planet Minecraft has released, for April 1st, CFTs or Creative Fun-gible Tokens (These are kind of NFTs without being real NFTs and all for free)
Since then, I decided to take a closer look at the rarity of CFTs and the associated drop rates.


Each card has two pieces of information about its rarity (in fact, one is deduced from the other)
  • The type of rarity.
    In order: COMMON, UNCOMMON, RARE, EPIC, LEGENDARY and MYTHIC

  • The value of rarity.
    A number between 0 and 75 (maximum can change)
    This number is probably represented by the heart or emerald or diamond (on the right).
    Using: a heart has a value of 1, an emerald of 5 and a diamond of 10.

This means that even if both cards are EPIC rarity, if their rarity value is different then one is rarer than the other.


Based on 188,706 released CFTs cards, I was able to deduce and make this table detailing the value ranges of each type of rarity as well as their percentage of looting (approximate values calculated by the number of cards of the rarity multiplied by 100 and divided by the total number of cards).

Rarity  Min valueMax value  Drop percentage
COMMON0557.44%
UNCOMMON61133.21%
RARE12176.98%
EPIC18231.85%
LEGENDARY24290.38%
MYTHIC30
75 (currently)
0.12%


We can notice that the values seem to be separated by gaps of 5 values, that's what I used to deduce some of them, except for the mythical cards which can reach a maximum rarity of 75.

3 Update Logs

Updated probability and rarity #3 : by Yomna 04/12/2024 7:36:43 pmApril 12, 2024 @ 11:36 pm UTC

From 31427 to 188706 cards
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  Have something to say?

crowndeluxe
04/24/2023 8:54 pm
He/Him • Level 47 : Master Lemon
Good to know
2
FE98
04/20/2023 3:00 pm
He/Him • Level 45 : Master Network Artist
history
Thank You For Telling Us
(Do You Want To I Draw You If You Want Just PM Me)
(But Not Now Because I Have Vote Here)
1
Kefaku
04/04/2023 1:24 pm
Level 45 : Master Nerd
history
updated percentages based on 8147 cards currently released:

Rarity
Drop Percentage
COMMON
66.28%
UNCOMMON
26.80%
RARE
5.04%
EPIC
1.25%
LEGENDARY
0.45%
MYTHIC
0.17%

NOTE: These values are still not extremely accurate, as it is difficult to determine actual odds with the very small number of Legendary/Mythic cards currently being released.

Also, as additional information about trades, they expire after 14 days and have (as far as I know) 5 differend states:

State
Description
ACCEPTEDtrade has been accepted; cards have been exchanged
CANCELEDyou canceled an offer you made
COUNTEREDone participant responded with a different offer
DECLINEDother person declined your offer
INVALIDATEDa card, which was part of the offer, has changed ownership (because of another trade)
PENDING
waiting for reaction from the other person
1
Yomna
04/04/2023 1:54 pm
Level 60 : High Grandmaster Pony
Thx!

For the exchange, it will go more in a general guide
I will probably make one ^^
2
Kefaku
04/04/2023 1:57 pm
Level 45 : Master Nerd
Cool, could you please share the link here, if you make a general guide?

In addition to that, I'm currently trying to find out how / at what rate PMT is earned. If I find something out, I'll let you know.
1
Yomna
04/04/2023 2:12 pm
Level 60 : High Grandmaster Pony
Of course ^^

And yeah it would be cool !

But don't forget that admins will probably expose some more details about the CFTs later on
2
Paril
04/03/2023 1:35 am
He/Him • Level 89 : Elite Scapegoat Programmer
Looking good! There is quite a bit that you haven't discovered yet, but it's because we don't expose some extra details on the card page yet. Once we do that, you'll probably have to adjust this a bit :)
3
Yomna
04/03/2023 6:12 am
Level 60 : High Grandmaster Pony
You probably talking about hearts, emeralds and diamonds.
It's true that there is no information on this but I have the impression that an emerald probably represents a certain number of hearts, like the diamond, and that it depends on the level ^^
Can't wait to see the page !
2
Yomna
04/03/2023 12:42 pm
Level 60 : High Grandmaster Pony
Edit: I think that simply that heart, emerald and diamond represent the rarity value (heart = 1, emerald = 5, diamond = 10)
2
OrderOutOfChaos
04/02/2023 7:11 pm
Level 38 : Artisan Scribe
I like how you did the research.
1

Welcome